Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.740264e-05 2.092060e-05 0.000025 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046
2025-11-23 1.302001e-05 1.747957e-05 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000046 0.000057
2025-11-30 1.001205e-05 1.487255e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000039 0.000051 0.000066
2025-12-07 7.600640e-06 1.248602e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000040 0.000054 0.000074
2025-12-14 5.673845e-06 1.034548e-05 0.000017 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000079
2025-12-21 4.293191e-06 8.699649e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000040 0.000059 0.000085
2025-12-28 3.355734e-06 7.539911e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000041 0.000062 0.000092
2026-01-04 2.586375e-06 6.485255e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000064 0.000097
2026-01-11 2.103273e-06 5.836838e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000042 0.000068 0.000105
2026-01-18 1.852437e-06 5.588159e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000115
2026-01-25 1.502223e-06 5.039362e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000077 0.000123
2026-02-01 1.138769e-06 4.349550e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000046 0.000079 0.000128
2026-02-08 8.002192e-07 3.647119e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000046 0.000081 0.000135
2026-02-15 5.859286e-07 3.180172e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000048 0.000085 0.000144
2026-02-22 4.146509e-07 2.742687e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000153
2026-03-01 2.654147e-07 2.260234e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000049 0.000091 0.000160
2026-03-08 1.520703e-07 1.791079e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000092 0.000165
2026-03-15 8.366912e-08 1.431548e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000048 0.000094 0.000170
2026-03-22 4.672522e-08 1.187063e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000048 0.000097 0.000178
2026-03-29 2.275308e-08 9.620580e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000048 0.000099 0.000184
2026-04-05 1.210343e-08 8.337184e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000103 0.000194
2026-04-12 8.230129e-09 7.968602e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000052 0.000109 0.000208
2026-04-19 3.555030e-09 6.847440e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000053 0.000113 0.000218